Brief Summary (6:50 PM Update):
Latest thoughts (nothing changed below:)
WSH IS GOOD TO GO AND WHILE THERE IS A SMALL RISK IN COLORADO AND A SMALL TO MODERATE RISK IN TEXAS, I AM GOING OUT ON THE LIMB TO SAY GO AHEAD AND PLAY ANYONE FROM THESE 3 GAMES!!
Let's start in our Nation's Capital for PHL at WSH. As the map shows, most of the thunderstorm activity should stay north and west. As the game goes on....some scattered thunderstorms will sink towards them but all in all this trend continues to be GOOD NEWS.Conclusion: A LOW CHANCE OF A PPD AND DELAY(S), DELAY THREAT INCREASES A BIT LATER IN THE GAME WE GO.
Here are a few simulated radars:
7PM:
8 PM:
So that looks pretty innocent! A cold front basically sitting right on top of them makes me feel slightly less optimistic than what the images show though.
VERY WIDELY SCATTERED T-STORMS for BOS at ATL. Almost not even worth mentioning. Worst case scenario is a DELAY.
NYY at TEX (Update at 6:40 PM: T-storms looking ever so quicker but still looks to me they are dry until about 9:30 PM) will see a moderate risk of thunderstorms this evening, some which may be severe. Good news: the worst of the severe outbreak should be to their north and west and rather late too (after 10:30 to 11). Also, by the nature of thunderstorms, it will not be raining all the time and not every location will see severe weather or even any rain at all. Bad news: you never want to see the threat of severe weather at any outdoor event. Local and stadium officials will be sensitive to this weather event since it will be all over the news. CONCLUSION: LOW PPD RISK; MODERATE DELAY RISK.
Simulated radars
8 PM:
9 PM:
10 PM:
11 PM:
For those that do not know, the stadium is basically halfway between the DFW and FTW on the map. Hard to see, I know. The other way you can judge where the stadium: it is about halfway between the two "loops" around the cities of Dallas and Fort Worth.
ALL SAID AND DONE, THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY WAIT UNTIL VERY LATE IN THE GAME TO MAKE AN APPEARANCE.
PIT at COL: PPD RISK LOW; DELAY RISK LOW; DELAYED START NOW LOW.
Current radar (6:00 PM):
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=FTG&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
GREAT NEWS! The rain has sunk away from the city...so I am VERY optimistic!
Simulated radars:
8 PM
Good Hitting Environments:
-You can never ignore the extremely low air density at Coors Field for PIT at COL but tonight will feature chilly temperatures and a wind blowing in.-Strong wind blowing out to center for SD at SF.
Poor Hitting Environments:
-Very chilly for OAK at DET and CLE at MIN.-Wind blowing in will combine w/cool temperatures to make it a tough places to hit for both CIN at NYM and MIL at CHC
PHL at WSH: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Winds SW becoming NW at 8-16 mph which blows 1st out to center and then from left to right. The wind is a 7 becoming a 5. Temps in the mid 70s falling into the upper 60s. Air density is a 7 becoming 6.
CHW at TOR: Chilly temperatures will continue to keep the roof closed.
OAK at DET 7:10: Wind NNE 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6. Temps near 50 falling into the mid 40s. Air density is a 3 becoming a 2.
BOS at ATL 7:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SW 4-8 mph which blows out to left-center. The wind is a 6. Temps in the mid 70s dropping into the low 70s. Air density is a 7.
CIN at NYM 7:10: NE wind 8-16 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 3. Temps in the mid to upper 50s falling into the low 50s. Air density is a 5 becoming a 4.
BLT at TB 7:10 Dome
NYY at TEX 8:05: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. SSE wind 12-25 mph which blows in from right-center. The wind is a 2. Temps generally in the mid to upper 70s. Air density is a 7.
MIL at CHC 8:05: NE wind 10-20 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 2 or a 3. Temps only in the upper 40s falling into the low to mid 40s. Air density is a 2.
CLE at MIN 8:10: NE winds 8-16 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 3. Temps in the mid to upper 40s. Air density is a 3.
PIT at COL 8:40: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. N winds 10-20 mph will blow in from center. The wind is a 2 or a 3. Temps generally near 40. Air density is still a 10 though.
STL at AZ 9:40: The retractable roof will likely be open. Wind WSW 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5. Temps in the upper 70s falling into the low 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7.
KC at LAA 10:05: Wind WSW 8-16 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6. Temps in the mid 60s falling to near 60. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5.
HOU at SEA 10:10: Chilly temperatures may keep the roof closed. If it is open: Winds SW 5-10 mph which blow out to center. The wind is a 6. Temps in the upper 50s falling to near 50. Air density is a 4 becoming a 3.
MIA at LAD 10:10: Wind WSW 8-16 mph lessening to 5-10 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7 becoming a 6. Temps in the mid 60s falling to near 60. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5.
SD at SF 10:15: West wind 20-30 mph which blows out to center. The wind is an 8. Temps near 60 falling into the mid 50s. Air density is a 5.
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