Sunday, June 12, 2016

MLB DFS Weather Sunday 6/12/16

Brief Summary:

PPD Threat: None

Delay Threat: CIN (25%), ATL (25%), COL (20%)

Good Hitting Environments: CIN, ATL, PIT

Poor Hitting Environments: TOR, SF

 

 

Forecasting Analysis:

OAK @ CIN

A few showers and tstorms will develop across the Ohio Valley Region. I do not expect the rain to be widespread or organized as can be seen by the simulated radar for 3 PM:

VERY LOW CHANCE OF PPD; LOW TO MAYBE MODERATE CHANCE OF DELAY(S)


CHC @ ATL

Much like the game above, the region will see scattered showers and tstorms. The simulated radar for 1 PM is forecast to look like this:




 Almost a carbon copy of what the weather should look like near CIN. Though the region can see some rain, I am not seeing a high PPD threat. Sure, could a cell sit right on the stadium and dump rain on them? Yes, but the chances of that are rather low. LOW CHANCE OF PPD; LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)


 BOS@MIN

Wet weather should hold off until after the game. VERY LOW CHANCE OF PPD/ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)



SD@COL

Like the set up yesterday, showers and tstorms will form in the Rockies and will drift off of them. Here is what the radar should look like at 4 and 6 PM respectively:


6 PM:


So the models are forecasting the rain to come off the mountains and possibly impact the game. This model seems to have a bias of doing that. Everytime that it does this, I look at the surface map and see if there is any "trigger" for this activity:


Notice that a) I highlighted the game with some delay/PPD risks and b) that there is no surface feature that will cause the showers and thunderstorms to be numerous around Denver. Thus, I am not going to buy this model 100% but will keep its threat for the Padres/Rockies game in the back of my mind. LOW RISK OF A PPD/LOW TO MAYBE MODERATE RISK OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)











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