Brief Summary:
PPD Threat: None
Delay Threat: CIN (25%), ATL (25%), COL (20%)
Good Hitting Environments: CIN, ATL, PIT
Poor Hitting Environments: TOR, SF
Forecasting Analysis:
OAK @ CIN
A few showers and tstorms will develop across the Ohio Valley Region. I do not expect the rain to be widespread or organized as can be seen by the simulated radar for 3 PM:VERY LOW CHANCE OF PPD; LOW TO MAYBE MODERATE CHANCE OF DELAY(S)
CHC @ ATL
Much like the game above, the region will see scattered showers and tstorms. The simulated radar for 1 PM is forecast to look like this:
Almost
a carbon copy of what the weather should look like near CIN. Though the
region can see some rain, I am not seeing a high PPD threat. Sure,
could a cell sit right on the stadium and dump rain on them? Yes, but
the chances of that are rather low. LOW CHANCE OF PPD; LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)
BOS@MIN
Wet weather should hold off until after the game. VERY LOW CHANCE OF PPD/ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)
SD@COL
Like
the set up yesterday, showers and tstorms will form in the Rockies and
will drift off of them. Here is what the radar should look like at 4 and
6 PM respectively:
6 PM:
So
the models are forecasting the rain to come off the mountains and
possibly impact the game. This model seems to have a bias of doing that.
Everytime that it does this, I look at the surface map and see if there
is any "trigger" for this activity:
Notice
that a) I highlighted the game with some delay/PPD risks and b) that
there is no surface feature that will cause the showers and
thunderstorms to be numerous around Denver. Thus, I am not going to buy
this model 100% but will keep its threat for the Padres/Rockies game in
the back of my mind. LOW RISK OF A PPD/LOW TO MAYBE MODERATE RISK OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)
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