MLB DFS Weather Tuesday 6/21/16

Brief Summary :

 

PPD Threat: BAL (20%)

Delay Threat: BAL (35%)

Good Hitting Environments:TEX, BAL

Poor Hitting Environment: MIA

MLB DFS Weather Sunday 6/19/16

 

 

Brief Summary :

 

 

 

 

PPD Threat:None

 

 

 

 

Delay Threat: None

 

 

 

 

Good Hitting Environment: Many but BOS, CLE, BAL, PHI, MIN, KAN, STL stand out the most 

 

 

MLB DFS Weather Thursday 6/16/16

Brief Summary (4:30 PM Update):

PPD Threat:None

Delay Threat: PHL(15% late)

Good Hitting Environment: KC

Poor Hitting Environments: LAA, SD

 

MLB DFS Weather Tuesday 6/14/16

Brief Summary (4:45 PM Update):

PPD Threat:ATL (15%)

Delay Threat: ATL (35%),CHW (20%), KC (10%), STL (20%)

Good Hitting Environments: ATL, KC, STL, AZ, COL

Poor Hitting Environments: TB, LAA

 

MLB DFS Weather Sunday 6/12/16

Brief Summary:

PPD Threat: None

Delay Threat: CIN (25%), ATL (25%), COL (20%)

Good Hitting Environments: CIN, ATL, PIT

Poor Hitting Environments: TOR, SF

 

MLB DFS Weather Thursday June 9

Brief Summary (6:00 PM EDT Update):

We are going to be good to go in Chicago  

PPD Threat: CHW (10%)

Delay Threat: CHW(25%)

Good Hitting Environment: TEX, COL(off the charts good), NYY, MIN

Poor Hitting Environment: SEA

MLB DFS Weather Tuesday June 7

Brief Summary (6:20 PM Update):

PPD Threats: None

Delay Threats: None

 

Good Hitting Environments: PIT, BAL, NYY, DET, TEX

Poor Hitting Environments: LAD, SD, SF

 

 

Forecasting Analysis: 

 Current radar:

NYM at PIT, KC at BAL, LAA at NYY, CHC at PHL, TOR at DET

All 5 of these locations will see a slight coverage of showers across their respective regions. The current radar looks a bit worse than what I expect the radar at 7 PM to look like:

 VERY LOW CHANCE OF PPD OR DELAY except for LAA @ NYY. This game looks a bit worrisome. By 8 PM the radar should look like this:

So as long as the timing is good on this, this game is not a PPD threat. However, if it is a bit slower....well I still don't think it is a high PPD threat but I guess I can not rule it out. However, seems like an almost perfect situation to use a delayed start to the game. LOW CHANCE OF PPD, MODERATE CHANCE OF A DELAY OR MORE LIKELY A DELAYED START

MLBDFS Weather Sunday June 5

Brief Summary (Updated at Noon):

PPD Threats: None

Delay Threats: CLE(40%), DET(50%), BAL(45%), PHL(40%), PIT(40%), BOS(20%)

Good Hitting Environments: CLE, BAL, PHL, DET, BOS, TEX

Poor Hitting Environments: MIA, SD, LAD

Forecasting Analysis:

  Current radar for the Great Lakes: 

 Current radar for the Northeast: 

 

                                                  KC at CLE

A line of tstorms associated with a cold front will approach during the game. 2 PM simulated radar:

Looks like an in-game delay threat for sure! Right now the current radar is wimpy looking so I am not worried about a delayed start to the game. LOW CHANCE OF A PPD, MODERATE CHANCE OF AN IN-GAME DELAY

                                                  CHW at DET

The radar near DET is showing a line of tstorms moving through now. The modelling shows another line of tstorms to form and affect the region (as shown above in the CLE simulated radar). Often, a 1st line of tstorms will steal the available energy needed for the another line to form. This may not be the case though today as a) we can see tstorms forming in central Michigan on the radar shown above and b) the cold front has yet to come through. I am feeling a bit more pessimistic about the chance of delay(s) seeing this 2nd batch of tstorms starting to develop.

Here is the local DET radar with the tstorms circled that I am very nervous about. Best case scenario is that they cause a delayed start to the game and not an in-game delay:

LOW CHANCE OF A PPD (SINCE THIS GAME MAY NOT START DRY); MODERATE CHANCE OF SOME TYPE OF DELAY(S)

                                             NYY at BAL, MIL at PHL

Tstorms, some severe, will rattle the mid-Atlantic region today. I will lump these 2 games in because they start at the same time and of how close they are to each other. 1 PM simulated radar:

So they both should be able to start on time. Whenever a game starts, they do everything in their power to finish it, or at least go the 5 innings they need it to become an official game. We can already see the them for the afternoon though, there will be showers and tstorms around at times (some with heavy downpours), but for much of the game it will be dry.

Seems like things do not get real nasty this far east until around 4 PM:

Hopefully, by this time, both these games are over or very close to being done. There is some risk that tstorms could pop up at any time this afternoon to cause a delay earlier than 4 PM. LOW PPD RISK, MODERATE TO HIGH DELAY RISK ESPECIALLY LATER IN THE GAME

                                                     TOR at BOS

A light, drizzly rain will fall this afternoon, making for a damp and dreary experience at Fenway Park. The rain should not be heavy nor steady until this evening thus they should be able to get this game in.

LOW CHANCE OF PPD, LOW TO MAYBE MODERATE CHANCE OF A DELAY

                                                    LAA at PIT

A cold front will be moving through the region right around scheduled 1st pitch. By 2 PM, the radar should look like this:

So the main rain band has pushed east by then. If this is a bit slower doing so, a delayed start could be warranted. But look towards Ohio! These are instability showers forming and will affect the PIT region all afternoon. They will have briefly heavy rain associated with them and will be quite numerous. LOW CHANCE OF PPD, MODERATE CHANCE OF A DELAY

MLB DFS Weather Saturday June 4

I am happy to announce that on Mondays, Wednesdays, Fridays and Saturday my analysis will be found at DAILYFANTASYCAFE.COM as I have an exclusive partnership with them these days. Tuesdays, Thursdays and Sundays I will do my normal analysis here just like it was before.

You can see today's forecast by going HERE

I would greatly appreciate you heading over to there and being a part of the vibrant fantasy sports community found at DailyFantasyCafe.

Sam and the rest of the team at DailyFantasyCafe are going to work with me to make my forecasts more appealing to the eye and easier to understand quickly. We have started experimenting with different graphics and visual tools. I would greatly appreciate any thoughts, comments, suggestions and criticisms. You can comment by going onto the hyperlink above or emailing me directly at mlbdfsweather@gmail.com

Thank you

Mark

MLB DFS Weather Friday June 3rd

I am happy to announce that on Mondays, Wednesdays, Fridays and Saturday my analysis will be found at DAILYFANTASYCAFE.COM as I have an exclusive partnership with them these days. Tuesdays, Thursdays and Sundays I will do my normal analysis here just like it was before.

You can see today's forecast by going HERE

I would greatly appreciate you heading over to there and being a part of the vibrant fantasy sports community found at DailyFantasyCafe.

Sam and the rest of the team at DailyFantasyCafe are going to work with me to make my forecasts more appealing to the eye and easier to understand quickly. We have started experimenting with different graphics and visual things today. I would greatly appreciate any thoughts, comments, suggestions and criticisms. You can comment by going onto the hyperlink above or emailing me directly at mlbdfsweather@gmail.com

Thank you

Mark

MLB DFS Weather Thursday June 2

Brief Summary (Updated 6:30 PM):

PPD Threat: None

Delay Threat: BLT (low to mod after 8:30 PM), PHL (very low),

The only night games with any type of PPD/delay threat will be BOS at BLT and MIL at PHL. A line of semi-organized tstorms will approach this pair of games after the 1st pitch in each location. By 7 and 8 PM, the radars near them should look like this:

MLB DFS Weather Wednesday June 1

Brief Summary:

PPD threat: none

Delay threat: ATL, COL (low)

SF at ATL will see tstorms scattered around the region this evening:

MLB DFS Weather Tuesday, May 31

Brief Summary (6:45 PM update):

*****Nothing changed from here on  down: Coors looks fine, I have received word that they will make a decision in Chicago around 7 PM but I am leaning towards them being able to play****

 

PPD Threat: CHC (low to moderate), KC ( very low), COL (low)

Delay Threat: ATL (low)

SF at ATL will see a few scattered tstorms near the game. Here is the 7 PM simulated radar:

MLB DFS Weather Monday May 30

Brief Summary (6:10 PM Update):

PPD Threats: none

***Delay Threats: PHL, KC (low) **

WSH at PHL will be in the same weather setup as NYM and BLT, as Bonnie's rain will be to the east and a cold front is approaching from the west. Here is what the  current radar looks like:

MLB DFS Weather Sunday May 29th

Brief Summary (12:45 PM EDT Update):

PPD Threat: TEX(low), CLE (low), COL (low)

Delay Threat: WSH, KC, NYM (all 3 slight)

BLT at CLE will see showers/thunderstorms around. Here is the simulated radar for 2 PM (yes I know the game starts at 1:10):

MLB DFS Weather Saturday May 28

Brief Summary ( 7:05 PM EDT update):

PPD Threats: NYM (LOW)

Delay Threats: TEX (IN-GAME), NYM

current radar:

MLB DFS Weather Friday May 27

Brief Summary (6:30 PM EDT Update): 

Summer warmth, humidity and tstorms finally here

PPD Threats: KC (low), COL (low)                         

Delay Threats: All slight: NYM, WSH, ATL, CLE , TEX

Only change on this update is on KC

MLB DFS Weather Thursday May 26

Brief Summary (4:15 PM Update):

PPD threat: KC (mod), ATL (LOW)     

Delay threat: WSH (slight)

MLB DFS Weather Wednesday May 25

Brief Summary (6:30 PM EDT update):  Quiet Evening

Simulated radar for 7 PM this evening:

All of the night games look rather "clean" in terms of the weather.

MLB DFS Weather Tuesday May 24

Brief Summary: (6:50 pm update) 

****Showers look to miss NYC****

PPD threat:  none   Delay: STL(slight), MIN (start), TEX (slight), NYY (slight)

Thunderstorms have fired near MIN. Here are the radar and simulated radars for 7, 8 and 9 PM:

**The tstorm west of MIN has weakened a bit just as the models said they should. Makes me optimistic that they will be able to play****

Thunderstorms are forecast to weaken as they approach the Twin Cities but should be passing through around scheduled 1st pitch. A DELAYED START TO THE GAME LOOKS POSSIBLE TO EVEN LIKELY. PPD LOOKS LOW, THREAT OF ANOTHER DELAY LOW AS WELL

MLB DFS Weather Monday May 23

Brief Summary (6:55 PM EDT Update):

PPD/Delay threats: WSH and MIN

** Last frame of the radar in DC shows rain lightening up as it heads towards them. Makes more me optimistic that they try to play**

Current radars:

Take a look at the 2 respective radar by clicking MIN and DC

Right from the 2 radars, you can see it is going to rain in DC and the rain trails all the way back to near Lancaster, PA. There is almost a 100% certainty that is will rain at some point in the game. The question is PPD? Delay?

BASED ON WHAT i SEE HERE, DC IS A HIGH DELAY RISK AND A MODERATE PPD RISK

MLB DFS Weather Sunday May 22

Brief Summary (Updated 12:30 PM): More Wet Weather for the Northeast

Current radar:

  ****VERY OPTIMISTIC THAT THEY WILL PLAY ALL THE GAMES IN THE NORTHEAST*****

MLB DFS Weather Saturday May 21

Brief Summary (6:30 PM EDT Update): Much Quieter

NoCal radar:

MLB DFS Weather Friday May 20

Brief Summary (6:45 PM EDT Update):Reds to Start LATE!

Current radar:

Notice all the rain right near CIN.

Simulated radar at 7 PM tonight:

MLB DFS Weather Thursday May 19

Brief Summary (6:45 PM Update):

BIG STORY IS THE STRONG WIND BLOWING OUT TO RIGHT IN OAK

 

Current radar this afternoon:

Simulated radar expected this evening:

MLB DFS Weather Wednesday May 18

Brief Summary (6:30 PM EDT Update):

WSH at NYM is seeing some showers push through Queens right now. Let's look at the current radar:

Air Density and How it Impacts Baseball Games

With the Weather a Bit Quiet Today, I Figured I would post this article. 

 

                                        vs. 

 Air Density and How it Impacts Baseball Games

MLB DFS Weather Tuesday May 17

Brief Summary (6:20 PM Update):

Current radar near PHL/BLT:

And near STL:

 

MLB DFS Weather Monday May 16

Brief Summary (Updated 6:25 PM):

 

*****Officially, the Red Sox at Royals game has been cancelled.**********

I am expecting a few showers for MIN at DET. Current radar: 

Tweet from the Tigers: Tarp is on the field, but rain should pass and not effect start


Here is the simulated radar for 7 PM:

MLB DFS Weather Sunday May 15

Brief Summary: Tough Forecast for DEN

  12:40 PM EDT UPDATE

 

MLB DFS Weather Saturday May 14

Brief Summary (6:45 PM Update):

********PHL game likely to start delayed but they should play with the risk of an in-game delay

DET at BLT and MIA at WSH (2nd game) will see a band of rain exiting their region around the scheduled 1st pitch time of 7:05 EDT. Current radar shown below:

MLB DFS Weather Friday May 13

Brief Summary (6:50 PM EDT Update) BOSTON WILL TRY TO PLAY

Current radar:

HOU at BOS is the game to watch.Now the simulated radar and the real radar are matching up so let's see what is supposed to happen:

MLB DFS Weather Thursday May 12th

Brief Summary (6:45 PM Update):

 Previous radar near Atlanta:

  Current radar near ATL: 

Notice the weakening! Great sign!

LOW CHANCE OF PPD, MODERATE CHANCE OF A DELAYED START OR DELAY DURING THE BEGINNING OF THE GAME

MLB DFS Weather Wednesday May 11

Brief Summary (6:30 PM Update):

Current radar near Chicago:

Rain is not threatening Wrigley at the moment

MLB DFS Tuesday May 10th

Strong Thunderstorms Pound Cincinnati

 

 Brief Summary (6:55 PM Update):

Alot of weather issues to keep an eye on tonight. Hopefully I can keep you updated with up to the minute thoughts and to do that I need you to follow the updates here or on twitter (@DFSWeatherMark)