Brief Summary (12:45 PM EDT Update):
PPD Threat: TEX(low), CLE (low), COL (low)
Delay Threat: WSH, KC, NYM (all 3 slight)
BLT at CLE will see showers/thunderstorms around. Here is the simulated radar for 2 PM (yes I know the game starts at 1:10):LOW CHANCE OF PPD (game starts dry)/MODERATE CHANCE OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)****
Rain loosely associated with Tropical Depression Bonnie should move into the nation's Capital AFTER 4 PM. I will keep an eye on this region, but much like the game in CLE, most, if not all of this game should be dry. EXTREMELY LOW CHANCE OF A PPD; LOW CHANCE OF A DELAY LATE
A few widely scattered tstorms will be around CHW at KC. Almost not worth mentioning but I will watch this region. Here is the 3 PM simulated radar:
You can see that nothing SHOULD affect them...but you never know for sure. That is why I will keep an eye on them. EXTREMELY LOW CHANCE OF PPD, LOW CHANCE OF A DELAY
PIT at TEX will see some tstorm activity nearby. Here is the simulated radar for 3, 4 and 5 PM respectively:
Showers and thunderstorms will form in the mountains to the west of SF at COL. That is rather typical. Also typical is that this rain will then try to drift off the mountains. Let's show the simulated radars for 4, 5 and 6 PM:
***Much like the models in TEX, the last run of the models paint an optimistic picture in COL. Not overly wet and the showers are moving. I would not be afraid of using batters in cash games. LOW CHANCE OF PPD/MODERATE CHANCE OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)***
LAD at NYM will see rain loosely associated with Tropical Depression Bonnie creeping north towards them. Much like the situation further south (STL at WSH), most, if not all, of this rain should wait until the game is over. Here is a simulated radar for 11 PM:
So, as long as this timing is correct, this game should not be a problem. VERY LOW CHANCE OF PPD, LOW CHANCE OF A DELAY LATE IN THE GAME
Good Hitting Environments:
-Warm and muggy with a light breeze blowing out to left for STL at WSH.-Mild with a breeze blowing out to center for CHW at KC.
-Warm with a breeze blowing out to right-center for BLT at CLE.
-A strong breeze blows out to right for PHL at CHC plus temperatures are summerlike.
-Typical warmth will be found for PIT at TEX.
-You can never ignore the huge advantage that extremely low air density gives batter whenever COL plays at home.
Poor Hitting Environments:
-Much like yesterday, no ballparks stand out as particularly bad but maybe you can look at the ballparks being played under a dome/retractable roofs and say that they are at a disadvantage of not being one of the ballparks mentioned above that have the advantage (for batters) of winds and low air density.In the scales used below, a 1 greatly favors the pitcher while a 10 favors the batter. All Times EDT
BOS at TOR 1:07: The retractable roof will likely be closed due to the small threat of showers.
BLT at CLE 1:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SSW 8-16 mph which blows out to right-center. The wind is a 7. Temps near 80. Air density is a 7.
NYY at TB 1:10: Dome.
STL at WSH 1:35: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SE 5-10 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6. Temps near 80. Air density is an 8.
CIN at MIL 2:10: The retractable roof will likely be open. Winds WSW 10-20 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5. Temps in the mid 70s. Air density is a 7.
CHW at KC 2:15: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SW 5-10 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6. Temps in the low 80s. Air density is an 8.
PHL at CHC 2:20: Wind WSW 10-20 mph which blows out to right. The wind is an 8. Temps near 80. Air density is a 7.
PIT at TEX 3:05: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SSE 7-14 mph which blows in from right-center. The wind is a 4. Temps in the low 80s. Air density is an 8.
HOU at LAA 3:35: Wind WSW 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7. Temps in the mid to upper 60s. Air density is a 5.
DET at OAK 4:05: Wind WNW 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7. Temps in the low 70s. Air density is a 6.
MIN at SEA 4:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed due to the threat of showers.
SF at COL 4:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind ENE becoming SW 8-16 mph which 1st blows from left to right and then out to right. The wind is a 5 becoming a 7. Temps in the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 10.
SD at AZ 4:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed due to the heat.
MIA at ATL 5:05: Wind N 6-12 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 4. Temps in the low 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8.
LAD at NYM 8:00: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind S less than 8 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6. Temps in the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 7.
No comments:
Post a Comment