MLB DFS Weather Tuesday, May 31

Brief Summary (6:45 PM update):

*****Nothing changed from here on  down: Coors looks fine, I have received word that they will make a decision in Chicago around 7 PM but I am leaning towards them being able to play****

 

PPD Threat: CHC (low to moderate), KC ( very low), COL (low)

Delay Threat: ATL (low)

SF at ATL will see a few scattered tstorms near the game. Here is the 7 PM simulated radar:

One of the tstorm cells forecast is basically right on top of ATL. We saw a situation like this last week cause a lengthy delay. But chances are that tstorm cell will not be where this model expects it to be. But there will be a scattering of tstorms around. PPD RISK LOW, LOW TO MODERATE DELAY RISK

The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) has both Kansas City and Chicago in the risk area for tstorms tonight.

Current radar near Chicago:

One batch of tstorms passing through Chicago right now, more developing south of the city and is lifting north

So what happens later this evening for LAD at CHC? Here is the simulated radar for 8 PM:

***The models are not really matching up well with the radars STILL***

And 9 PM:

***Right now the radar is a better indication of what is going on.The tstorms south of the city are worrisome.

LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF PPD OR OF ANY TYPE OF DELAYS

If they do not PPD soon, it is an indication that they are going to wait it out and they may try to play. That is why the PPD threat is only low to moderate***

TB at KC will see a cold front moving through their region. It  now looks faster than the above surface map's portrayal.

The short term model I trust the most continues to show the region fairly quiet. Because of how consistent it has been I have to give credence to this. Here is a different model for the same time:

 
And here is the model I trust the most at 8 PM:

9 PM:

Does not look too bad. Precip looks lighter, spottier. We will have to watch that one tstorm forecast to be near them. Even the worst looking model has improved since this morning and shows that they should be able to play. LOW CHANCE OF A PPD OR OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)



CIN at COL will also be threatened by some rain. Here are the simulated radars:

8 PM:

9 PM:

Here is the current radar:

 ***Unlike CHI, the radar and the models are now matching up well. LOW PPD RISK, LOW TO MODERATE DELAY RISK***

Good Hitting Environments:

-Summer warmth and humidity will cause the air density to be low for SF at ATL. 
-CIN at COL will have the huge advantage of very low air density thanks to being more than 5000 feet above sea level.  

Poor Hitting Environments:

-As compared to many of the outdoor games that are played with early summer warmth and humidity, the 2 California games (LAA, OAK) and games played indoors (probably AZ, MIL, MIA) will be at a disadvantage, though MIL seems to favor hitters whether or not the roof is closed. 

In the scales used below, a 1 greatly favors the pitcher while a 10 favors the batter. All Times EDT


TEX at CLE 6:10: Wind NNE 6-12 mph which blows in from right-center. The wind is a 4. Temps in the mid to upper 70s falling to near 70. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6.

BOS at BLT 7:05: Wind light and variable, which is a 5. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

WSH at PHL 7:05: Wind SW 5-10 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 4. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

NYY at TOR 7:07: The retractable roof will likely be open. Wind WNW 7-14 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5. Temps near 70 dropping to near 60. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6.

PIT at MIA 7:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed.

SF at ATL 7:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind light and variable which is a 5. Temps in the low 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8.

CHW at NYM 7:10: Wind light and variable which is a 5. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

LAD at CHC 8:00: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SE 6-12 mph which blows from right to left. Temps near 80 falling into the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

STL at MIL 8:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed due to threat of tstorms.

TB at KC 8:15: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SE 6-12 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5. Temps near 80 falling into the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

CIN at COL 8:40: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind east 7-14 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5. Temps in the mid to upper 50s. Air density is a 10.

DET at LAA 10:05: Wind WSW 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6. Temps in the low to mid 60s. Air density is a 5.

MIN at OAK 10:05: Wind NW 10-20 mph lessening to 6-12 mph which blows more left to right than straight out to right. The wind is a 6. Temps in the mid to upper 60s falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 5.