Saturday, May 14, 2016

MLB DFS Weather Saturday May 14

Brief Summary (6:45 PM Update):


********PHL game likely to start delayed but they should play with the risk of an in-game delay

DET at BLT and MIA at WSH (2nd game) will see a band of rain exiting their region around the scheduled 1st pitch time of 7:05 EDT. Current radar shown below:




Simulated radars of 7, 8 and 9 PM EDT












 So, DET at BLT and MIA at WSH (2nd game) look fine. VERY LOW CHANCE OF PPD/LOW CHANCE OF AN IN-GAME DELAY, LOW TO MAYBE MODERATE RISK OF A LATE START



Because the CIN at PHL is the game that is most concerning, let's look at this game in detail. Since they are a bit further east than BLT and DC, we will see this rain stick around a bit longer and thus this game is slightly more worrisome. Here is the simulated radar for 7 PM EDT:


7 PM simulated radar show below:




8 PM:






Assuming the timing is perfect here, a late start to the game seems like a possible solution. But do they even need to do that? LOW CHANCE OF PPD/MODERATE CHANCE OF A LATE START. 
The few showers around the area after 8 PM should not cause any problems. Could there be a delay from one of those showers? I guess, but I would put those chances at less than 10%


******I AM VERY CONFIDENT THAT THEY WILL BE ABLE TO PLAY IN PHL ********


NYM at COL will see a few widely scattered thunderstorms. Worst case scenario is a delay.

8 and 9 PM respectively simulated radars:



So, we can see it should not be a huge deal. LOW CHANCE OF PPD/ANY TYPE OF DELAY

 

Good Hitting Environment:



-Rule #1, always start this section with a Rockies home game. NYM at COL will see the HUGE advantage (for batters) of playing at over 5,000 feet above sea level.


 

 

Poor Hitting Environments:




-None stand out as really bad tonight



In the scales used below, a 1 greatly favors the pitcher while a 10 favors the batter. All times EDT. 



DET at BLT 7:05: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind W 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6. Temps in the low to mid 60s falling into the upper 50s. Air density is a 5.

CIN at PHL 7:05: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind WNW 12-25 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5. Temps in the low 60s falling into the upper 50s. Air density is a 5.

MIA at WSH 7:05: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind W 7-14 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 6. Temps in the low to mid 60s falling into the upper 50s. Air density is a 5.

SD at MIL 7:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed due to cool temperatures.  

ATL at KC 7:15: Wind NW less than 8 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5. Temps in the mid 50s falling to near 50. Air density is a 4 becoming a 3.

TOR at TEX 8:05: Wind N 6-12 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 6. Temps in the mid to upper 60s falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 5.

NYM at COL 8:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind ESE 12-25 mph which blows more from right to left than out to left but there is a small component of out to left. Wind is a 6. Temps near 60 falling into the low 50s. Air density is a 10.

SF at AZ 8:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed due to the heat.

LAA at SEA 9:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed due to threat of rain. 

STL at LAD 9:10:  Wind WSW 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7. Temps in the low to mid 60s. Air density is a 5.

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