Brief Summary ( 7:05 PM EDT update):
PPD Threats: NYM (LOW)
Delay Threats: TEX (IN-GAME), NYM
The game in Queens featuring WSH at NYM is worrisome. See the current radar above.
Notice the simulated radars below:
7PM:
8 PM:
We are at the point where the radar is more important than the models. And the last few runs of the radar give me optimism. The storms are weakening as the drift ever so slowly east-southeast. They will start dry. Now the question is will it rain at some point after the start of the game? That is a very close call. I see these tstorms continue to weaken a bit and thus the rain may be light enough that they will continue to keep playing. Let's put the number of an in-game delay at 30%
Good Hitting Environments:
-PIT at TEX will have almost summer-like temperatures.
-Warm temperatures with a breeze blowing out to left-center for STL at WSH.
-LAD at NYM will see mild weather with a light breeze blowing out to center.
Poor Hitting Environments:
-Compared to the abundance of warm weather and winds blowing out, the games with retractable roofs likely to be closed (SEA) and the game in ANA may be at a disadvantage offensively.In the scales used below, a 1 greatly favors the pitcher while a 10 favors the batter. All Times EDT
PIT at TEX 7:15: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SSE 7-14 mph which blows in from right-center. The wind is a 4. Temps in the low to mid 80s falling into the upper 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7.
STL at WSH 7:15: Wind S 7-14 mph which blows out to left-center. The wind is a 6. Temps in the low 80s falling into the mid 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7.
LAD at NYM 7:15: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. SW wind 5-10 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 6. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7.
HOU at ANA 10:05: Wind WSW 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7. Temps in the low to mid 60s. Air density is a 5.
MINN at SEA 10:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed due to the threat of showers.
SD at AZ 10:10: The retractable roof will likely be open. Wind WSW10-20 mph lessening to 6-12 mph which blows from right to left. Temps near 90 falling into the low 80s. Air density is a 9.
No comments:
Post a Comment