Wednesday, May 11, 2016

MLB DFS Weather Wednesday May 11

Brief Summary (6:30 PM Update):

Current radar near Chicago:




Rain is not threatening Wrigley at the moment





Rain will be well removed from the Nation's Capital (north even of Baltimore) by this evening for DET at WSH. Shown below is a simulated radar for 7 PM:






 EXTREMELY LOW CHANCE OF PPD OR ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)

The story of tonight seems to be minor problems that I have even debated mentioning but will anyways. PHL at ATL will see scattered thunderstorms affect the region as seen below:


EXTREMELY LOW CHANCE OF PPD OR ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)


The theme mentioned above continues. Computer model guidance show PIT at CIN  being affected by thunderstorms late in or after the game is over. Will keep an eye out on this region since the atmosphere is relatively warm and humid and has some atmospheric forcing that may cause thunderstorms to break out sooner than expected. EXTREMELY LOW CHANCE OF PPD OR ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S)



The place that has risen in concern level is the 2nd game of the doubleheader between SD at CHC. Shown below are simulated radars for 8, 9 and 10 PM EDT





Rain is forecast to be awfully close to Wrigley. The good part here is that we are lucky that we are talking about the Cubs game and not the White Sox as there is a sharp north-south gradient to the rain. Judging by what I see here, I would put it at a LOW CHANCE OF A PPD WITH A LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF SOME SORT OF DELAY(S).

The radar is really not matching up with the pessimistic looking models. I always lean to what is happening so I am not feeling overly worried about this game.

 

 

Good Hitting Environments:



-PIT at CIN and  SD at CHC will be played in relatively warm/humid conditions.



Poor Hitting Environment:

 

-OAK at BOS will continue to see "coolish" temperatures but in reality it could be far worse and it is better than recent games as well (though last night warmed up and we did see alot of runs).


In the scales used below, a 10 greatly favors the batter while a 1 favors the pitcher. All times EDT





KC at NYY 7:00: Wind light and variable which is a 5. Temps near 70 falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5.

DET at WSH 7:05: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SSE less than 8 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5. Temps in the mid to upper 60s falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 6 becoming a 5.

OAK at BOS 7:10: Wind light and variable which is a 5. Temps in the low 60s falling into the mid 50s. Air density is a 5 becoming a 4.

PHL at ATL 7:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind WSW less than 8 mph which blows out to right-center. The wind is a 5 or a 6. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

PIT at CIN 7:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SW less than 8 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5. Temps in the mid 70s falling into the upper 60s. Air density is a 7.

MIL at MIA 7:10: The retractable roof will likely be open (though I believe they closed it last night with similar weather as is expected tonight so who knows for sure). Wind ENE 8-16 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 3. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

SD at CHC 8:05: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind ENE 6-12 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 4. Temps near 70 falling into the low to mid 60s. Air density is a 7 becoming a 6.

STL at LAA 10:05: Wind WSW 10-20 mph lessening to 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7 or an 8 becoming a 6. Temps in the mid 60s falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 5.

NYM at LAD 10:10: Wind WSW 10-20 mph lessening to 7-14 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7 or an 8 becoming a 6. Temps in the mid 60s falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 5.

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