MLB DFS Weather Sunday May 1st

Simulated Radar for mid-afternoon

 

Brief Summary (12:50 PM Update):

SF at NYM:

The tarp has come off the field and Sunday's game is scheduled to start on time.

Let's look at some close-ups via simulated radar:


1 PM:

2 pm:

 3 PM:

So, we can see this model is having the rain pushing to the east/breaking up and becoming showery but it certainly takes awhile to do. Current radar:

Looking good! If they do start on time (as they announced they will) then I do not see any HUGE problems from that point on!

 LOW CHANCE OF PPD/DELAYED START/IN-GAME DELAY(S).

CHW at BLT ***Update: Orioles have tweeted me saying they plan to begin at the normally scheduled time 1:35 PM) *****will see the same weather system that is affecting New York City also affect them, with much of the thinking in terms of timing and rain this morning being similar. GOOD: The rain will be pushing out of the region somewhere in the early to mid afternoon time frame (2-3 PM). BAD: A steay rain, and heavier than what New York City will experience, will fall this morning through the afternoon hours. They may see 0.75 to maybe even an inch of rain. MY THINKING: LOW CHANCE OF PPD/DELAYED START/DELAY(S).



CIN at PIT  is where I can be very brief. Look at the simulated radar for this afternoon:

4 PM:

Scattered showers, few rumbles of thunder. Rainfall gets more numerous the later in the game you go. EXTREMELY RISK OF A PPD, LOW TO PERHAPS MODERATE CHANCE OF A DELAY THE LATER IN THE GAME YOU GO



Much like the game in PIT, the game in STL for WSH at STL will see a widely scattered shower or thunderstorm affect the region:

The risk is that any of these little "cells" could produce briefly heavy rain that could cause a DELAY. SO WHILE I AM NOT CONCERNED ABOUT A PPD, THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE OF AN IN-GAME DELAY. 


 ATL at CHC will see a few showers from time to time:

 I AM NOT CONCERNED ABOUT A PPD, THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE OF AN IN-GAME DELAY OR A LATE START TO THE GAME.


CLE at PHL *** Phillies announce "they will do everything in their power to play this afternoon"as this is an interleague game and CLE does not want to have to return to Philly *****will be dealing with a combination of the description for BLT and NYM. The good news for them is that they are further west than NYM (thus the rain should end earlier) and further north than BLT (thus PHL wil miss out on the heavier rain). This game is not without risk but I am more optimistic here than both NYM and BLT (plus the game is staring an hour plus later than the other 2). Let's go LOW CHANCE OF A PPD/IN-GAME DELAY WITH A LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF A DELAYED START. 


NYY at BOS will see the same weather system affecting NYM, PHL and BLT affect the Bay State this afternoon and tonight. Instead of being wordy, I will just show a simulated radar for 11 PM:

9 PM simulated radar:

 Rain, at least via model trends, wants to stick around until about 10 PM. MODERATE TO HIGH CHANCE OF A DELAY OR PPD. 

 

 

Good Hitting Environments:

-Warmer and somewhat humid conditions with a light breeze blowing out to left may make PNC Park for CIN at PIT play somewhat differently.

-WSH at STL will be played with a moderate breeze blowing out and with mild temperatures.

-Nice breeze blowing out to right for LAA at TEX. 

 

Poor Hitting Environments:

-The Northeast and mid-Atlantic cities of BOS and NYM will see chilly conditions that will lead to high air density.

-ATL at CHC will experience chilly temperatures and a light to moderate breeze blowing in.

In the scales used below, a 1 greatly favors the pitcher while a 10 greatly favors the batter. 


SF at NYM 1:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. ENE winds 7-14 mph which blow in from right. The wind is a 4. Temps near 50. Air density is a 4.


TOR at TB 1:10: Dome.

CHW at BLT 1:35: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind ENE under 8 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 4 or a 5. Temps in the mid to upper 50s. Air density is a 5.

CIN at PIT 1:35: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind WSW 6-12 mph which blows out to left. The wind is a 6. Temps in the mid to upper 60s. Air density is a 6, almost a 7.

MIA at MIL 2:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed with the threat of showers.

DET at MIN 2:10: Wind NNE 8-16 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5. Temps near 60. Air density is a 5.

WSH at STL 2:15: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind West 10-20 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7 or an 8. Temps near 70. Air density is a 6.

ATL at CHC 2:20: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind NE 8-16 mph which blows in from center. The wind is a 3. Temps in the low to mid 50s. Air density is a 4.

CLE at PHL 2:35: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind NE less than 8 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 4 or a 5. Temps in the mid 50s. Air density is a 5.

LAA at TEX 3:05: Wind N at 10-20 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7 or an 8. Temps in the low 70s. Air density is a 7.

HOU at OAK 4:05: Wind WNW 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7. Temps in the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

KC at SEA 4:10: The retractable roof will likely be open. Wind N 7-14 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 4. Temps in the low to mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

SD at LAD 4:10: Wind WSW 8-16 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7. Temps in the mid 60s. Air density is a 6.

COL at AZ 4:10: The retractable roof will likely be open. Wind SW 5-10 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5. Temps in the upper 70s. Air density is an 8.

NYY at BOS 8:00: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind SE 6-12 mph which blows from right to left. The wind is a 5. Temps only in the mid 40s. Air density is a 2.