MLB DFS Weather Monday May 9

Brief Summary (Updated 7:00 PM):

**************MIN Becomes Riskier  *****************

 

*****Expecting an In-Game Delay/Stoppage in CHC**********

 

******CIN Looks Fine to ME**************

A front will be just to the north of PIT at CIN. Thus, the showers and thunderstorms will be around the region. Current radar followed by the 7 PM, 8 PM and 9 PM (respectively) simulated radars for the area:

We can see the heaviest rain band is right on top of the Queen City just about to exit as it heads north. Some lighter rain will follow. Most of the game will be played with a light rain. So, some risk is here.

LOW TO PERHAPS MODERATE CHANCE OF A PPD, MODERATE TO MAYBE HIGH CHANCE OF AN IN-GAME DELAY OR A LATE START TO THE GAME

*****************A late start to the game may be the way to go here.**************


SD at CHC will be on the extreme northern fringe of this system. Let's look at what the current radar (shown above) and then some simulated radars:

8 PM:

9 PM:

10 PM:

So the current modelling shows that Wrigley Field SHOULD be DRY until 9:00-9:30pm. That is really cutting it close for us wanting to play Jon Lester. By 10 PM the rain should be coming down hard enough so that it will be very difficult to play. LOW CHANCE OF A PPD, MODERATE TO HIGH CHANCE OF AN IN-GAME DELAY

I usually put the games in order of what game starts 1st, but the 2 above games have more pressing weather concerns. DET at WSH The current radar is more optimistic and the modelling going forth is optimistic as well. I won't waste your time here, do not be afraid of using whoever you want.


A few random pop-up thunderstorms near CHW at TEX. Nothing can be completely ruled out but the CHANCES OF ANY ISSUES IS EXTREMELY LOW. 

8 pm simulated radar:

BLT at MIN has suddenly become riskier as thunderstorms are forming and "training" (moving right on top of each other) as the push towards the Twin Cities. See embedded loop here

Simulated radars shown below:

So let's go LOW TO MODERATE CHANCE OF A PPD OR  IN-GAME DELAY

I still think they will get this game in, it just seems like the risk of a late start to the game has increased.


Very small chance of anything affecting AZ at COL. I will keep an eye on the region but it  looks like the typical stuff stays in the mountains to their west.

Poor Hitting Environments:

 

-Games in BOS, NYY and WSH will be played with cool temperatures, thus high air density.

-Chilly temperatures and a strong wind blowing in (sort of) makes SD at CHC a tough place to hit.

Good Hitting Environments: 

 

- AZ at COL will feature the thin air and extremely low air density of 5,000 feet in elevation. Please see this article for more on how elevation affects the flight of a batted ball.

 -Warm temps for CHW at TEX.




In the scales below, a 1 greatly favors the pitcher; a 10 greatly favors the batter. All times EDT





DET at WSH 7:00: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5. Temps in the low 60s. Air density is a 5.

KC at NYY 7:05: Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5. Temps in the low 60s falling into the upper 50s. Air density is a 5 becoming a 4.

OAK at BOS 7:10: Wind NW 10-20 mph lessening to 6-12 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5. Temps near 60 falling into the mid 50s. Air density is a 4.

PIT at CIN 7:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind light and variable. The wind is a 5. Temps in the low to mid 60s. Air density is a 5.

MIL at MIA 7:10: The retractable roof will be open. Wind ENE 10-20 mph which blows in from left. The wind is a 2 or a 3. Temps near 80 falling into the mid 70s. Air density is a 7.

CHW at TEX 8:05: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind S 10-20 mph with gusts past 25 mph which blows in from right. The wind is a 2. Temps in the low to mid 80s falling into the mid 70s. Air density is an 8 becoming a 7.

SD at CHC 8:05: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind ESE 12-25 mph which blows more in from right than from right to left but it is not directly in from right (if that makes sense!). The wind is a 3. Temps only in the low 50s. Air density is a 3.

BLT at MIN 8:10: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind E 10-20 with gusts around 30 mph which blows out to center. The wind is an 8. Temps in the mid to upper 50s falling into the low 50s. Air density is a 4 becoming a 3.

CLE at HOU 8:10: The retractable roof will likely be closed with the threat of thunderstorms.

AZ at COL 8:40: SEE BRIEF SUMMARY ABOVE. Wind NW 8-16 mph to begin becoming variable. The wind blows in from left at first. The wind is a 4 becoming a 5. Temps in the mid 60s falling into the mid 50s. Air density is a 10.

TB at SEA 10:10: The retractable roof will likely be open. NW wind 7-14 mph which blows from left to right. The wind is a 5. Temps in the low 60s falling into the upper 50s. Air density is a 5.

NYM at LAD 10:10: Wind WSW 10-20 mph which blows out to right. The wind is a 7 or an 8. Temps in the mid 60s falling into the low 60s. Air density is a 5.

TOR at SF 10:15: Wind W 10-20 mph lessening to 7-14 mph which blows out to center. The wind is a 7 or an 8 becoming a 6. Temps in the low 60s falling into the mid to upper 50s. Air density is a 5 becoming a 4.